Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 20

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Jaunmārupes stadions (Jaunmārupe)


	Mārupe		Valmiera 2

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	2.88	3.67	2.14
	2.93	3.45	2.15
	2.85	3.55	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)	3.49 ↓ (3.8)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mārupe
31.5%

Draw
25.9%

Valmiera 2
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

24.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

23.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Valmiera 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Mārupe - Valmiera 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Urigajevs V. (G) 8. Abedi Rodo Y. 10. Griskovs G. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 3. Marusii T. 4. Meiers M. 19. Sadovnikovs R. 9. Sajenko E. 5. Steinbergs T. 21. Strauss G.	1. Minuss R. (G) 21. Blaubergs M. 3. Kalnins E. 14. Kizili J. 2. Krasts R. 33. Lucas Aruba 10. Maurs-Boks E. 37. Mumu T. 15. Stupelis O. 16. Volkovs K. 11. Zauska R. K. (C)
Substitutes
50. Bareika K. (G) 26. Dobrajs M. 18. Kholmetskyi Y. 23. Kokorevics N. 99. Marusii M. 27. Norkuss D. 31. Ozolins M. 12. Roga R. 34. Speks R.	24. Buss R. 77. Dumins E. 27. Kovacs K. 9. Pulis I. 12. Sakalis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Kizili J. 🟨,
6', Meiers M. 🟨,
17', Maurs-Boks E. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Griskovs G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Lucas Aruba ⚽,
72', Pulis I. 🟨,
81', Roga R. 🟨,
83', Minuss R. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Strauss G. ⚽,
90+1', Speks R. 🟨,
90+1', Abedi Rodo Y. 🟨,
90+1', Mumu T. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
15.09.24	JFK Ventspils - Mārupe	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Mārupe - Leevon PPK	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	3:1 ✺
09.08.24	JDFS Alberts - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL
- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
14.09.24	Valmiera 2 - Smiltene	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Olaine - Valmiera 2	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Valmiera 2 - Rēzekne	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Valmiera 2 - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
18.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Mārupe	4:0

Mārupe - Valmiera 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide