Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 8

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Ogre United		Valmiera 2

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.49
	5.35	4.25	1.45
	5.83	4.25	1.45
	5.35	4.25	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↓ (6)	4.21 ↑ (4)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre United
16.8%

Draw
21.4%

Valmiera 2
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.6%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22.2%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Valmiera 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ogre United - Valmiera 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Dalbins L. R. (G) 21. Dimants R. 13. Gulbis K. 96. Jekabsons J. (C) 14. Juhnovics R. 15. Karlis L. 87. Kondratjevs A. 44. Kontrims T. 93. Siksalietis R. 8. Skujins R. 23. Veckagans M.	1. Minuss R. (G) 14. Blaubergs M. 18. Buss R. 19. Cepelevs D. 4. Cepelevs N. 2. Krasts R. 7. Lucas Aruba 10. Mylchenko A. 22. Owusu R. 20. Tiago Mumu (C) 11. Zauska R. K.
Substitutes
80. Afanasjevs R. 19. Gomes P. 11. Kalmanis K. 7. Macharashvili G. 18. Paskovics V. 6. Sidrevics E. 9. Varpa R. 71. Zimelis R.	15. Bekeris H. 21. Kalnins E. 17. Maurs-Boks E. 6. Pulis I. 16. Rusmanis M. 46. Sakalis R. 13. Stupelis O. 8. Tkacenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Dimants R. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Siksalietis R. ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, Karlis L. ⚽, Jekabsons J. (A),
42', Dimants R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Tiago Mumu 🟨,
60', 4 - 0, Jekabsons J. ⚽,
66', Cepelevs D. 🟨,
67', Kontrims T. 🟨,
67', Owusu R. 🟨,
90+3', Maurs-Boks E. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone 1. Liga (Relegation) and 3).

Ogre United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valmiera 2 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valmiera 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valmiera 2 is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
19.05.24	JFK Ventspils - Ogre United	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Ogre United - Tukums 2000 2	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United	5:0 ✺
28.04.24	Ogre United - Leevon PPK	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ogre United - JDFS Alberts	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL
- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
18.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Mārupe	4:0 ✺
11.05.24	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:4 ✺
04.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Olaine	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Rēzekne - Valmiera 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

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