Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 22

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Varbergs BoIS		Brommapojkarna

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.12
	3.39	3.67	2.17
	3.1	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.24	3.6	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.72)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	2.14 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
29%

Draw
27%

Brommapojkarna
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.1%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.

Brommapojkarna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brommapojkarna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brommapojkarna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Brommapojkarna will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson D. (G) 45. Sainte M. 18. Lindner J. 40. Dahlstrom N. 20. Silverholt O. 21. Karlsson V. 10. Lushaku I. 17. Borchers M. 7. Tranberg R. (C) 26. Mucolli A. 37. Krasniqi D.	1. Hagg Johansson L. (G) 4. Sogaard A. (C) 14. Lofgren J. 2. Heggem T. 19. Zuta L. 7. Pettersson O. 17. Jensen A. 15. Leach S. 24. Ackermann K. 27. Inoussa Z. 12. Odefalk W.
Substitutes
24. Alfonsi D. 22. Frigell Jansson L. 19. Hoven K. 9. Kurochkin A. 43. Lukic S. (G) 12. Ronnberg V. 6. Sisse F. 38. Sverrisson O. 3. Zackrisson H.	26. Calisir A. 10. Cosic M. 11. Jelassi M. 18. Johansson A. 8. Jordan L. 6. Sandberg G. 20. Sidklev F. (G) 9. Vasic N.
Coaches
Skogman M.	Mellberg O.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Brommapojkarna will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Varberg: Liljenback A. (Knee Injury) Mensah G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Varberg: Alfonsi O. (Injury) Andersson F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brommapojkarna: Calisir A. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.08.23	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	0:3 ✺
13.08.23	Häcken - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Halmstad - Varbergs BoIS	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLW
- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.08.23	Brommapojkarna - Kalmar	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Brommapojkarna - Halmstad	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	AIK - Brommapojkarna	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Degerfors - Brommapojkarna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
21.05.23	Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
Svenska Cupen
08.03.20	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1
Swedish Superettan
27.10.19	Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
22.04.19	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	3:0
13.08.17	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1
20.05.17	Brommapojkarna - Varbergs BoIS	3:0
20.07.15	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1

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