Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 18

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Varbergs BoIS		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5
	2.85	3.05	2.65
	2.99	3.15	2.66
	2.62	2.9	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.22	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3)	3.12 ↓ (3.24)	2.57 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
33.2%

Draw
30.2%

Mjällby
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29.2%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	33.3%	40.7%

Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Mjällby will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Lukic S. (G) 18. Lindner J. 4. Stanisic O. (C) 3. Zackrisson H. 45. Sainte M. 8. Le Roux L. 10. Lushaku I. 20. Silverholt O. 7. Tranberg R. 37. Krasniqi D. 11. Eliton Junior	1. Tornqvist N. (G) 29. Eile N. 5. Rosler C. 24. Pettersson T. 14. Johansson H. 8. Nokkvason G. B. 22. Gustavsson J. 4. Walta L. 11. Stahl A. 12. Lofquist D. (C) 9. Fenger M.
Substitutes
17. Borchers M. 40. Dahlstrom N. 39. El Ouatki Y. 22. Frigell Jansson L. 19. Hoven K. 21. Karlsson V. 1. Olsson D. (G) 6. Sisse F. 5. Sverrisson O.	23. Akesson Linderoth F. 18. Bergstrom J. 28. Bjornson L. 3. Brorsson A. 19. Carlius L. 35. Lundin A. (G) 25. Miftari A. 10. Moro M. 17. Stroud E.
Coaches
Skogman M.	Torstensson A.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Varberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Varberg have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Varberg: Alfonsi O. (Injury) Andersson F. (Injury) Liljenback A. (Knee Injury) Mensah G. (Knee Injury) Tshikupe M. (Injury)

There will not play in Mjällby: Adolfsson J. (Injury) Johansson A. (Injury) Nwankwo S. (Injury) Petersson A. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Varberg won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.07.23	Halmstad - Varbergs BoIS	0:5 ✺
23.07.23	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	1:0 ✺
17.07.23	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	1:2 ✺
10.07.23	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWL
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.07.23	Mjällby - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
24.07.23	Sirius - Mjällby	2:3 ✺
16.07.23	Mjällby - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Malmö - Mjällby	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	Mjällby - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.04.23	Mjällby - Varbergs BoIS	2:2
24.10.22	Mjällby - Varbergs BoIS	4:1
24.04.22	Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby	0:0
04.12.21	Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby	0:3
11.04.21	Mjällby - Varbergs BoIS	0:0
13.09.20	Mjällby - Varbergs BoIS	2:3
16.07.20	Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby	1:0

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