Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 21

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: Friends Arena (Solna)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	AIK		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.41	4.9	7.5
	1.45	4.85	7.46
	1.36	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.43	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	4.58 ↓ (4.65)	7.43 ↓ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
66.6%

Draw
20.6%

Varbergs BoIS
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.7%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	10.5%	21.1%

AIK - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Varberg will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 6. Haliti J. 5. Milosevic A. (C) 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 25. Otieno E. 32. Modesto R. 8. Hussein B. 7. Saletros A. 19. Besirovic D. 9. Faraj O. 28. Pittas I.	43. Lukic S. (C) 18. Lindner J. 40. Dahlstrom N. 3. Zackrisson H. 45. Sainte M. 39. El Ouatki Y. 10. Lushaku I. 20. Silverholt O. 6. Sisse F. 37. Krasniqi D. 17. Borchers M.
Substitutes
18. Ali A. 45. Ayari T. 12. Bjornstrom A. 35. Brolin S. (G) 10. Durmaz J. 47. Fesshaie A. 22. Keita A. 30. Kusi Asare J. 17. Thychosen M.	24. Alfonsi D. 25. Berggren A. 22. Frigell Jansson L. 19. Hoven K. 16. Maric A. 5. Nogueira V. 1. Olsson D. (G) 12. Ronnberg V.
Coaches
Berg H.	Askebrand T.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches AIK won 4.

Recent matches AIK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varberg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently AIK have a series of guest games.

In this match AIK is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Varberg: Alfonsi O. (Injury) Andersson F. (Injury) Liljenback A. (Knee Injury) Mensah G. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches AIK won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams AIK won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.08.23	Norrköping - AIK	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
16.08.23	Dalkurd - AIK	0:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.08.23	AIK - Brommapojkarna	2:2 ✺
06.08.23	Kalmar - AIK	1:1 ✺
31.07.23	Sirius - AIK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTW
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.08.23	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	0:3 ✺
13.08.23	Häcken - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Halmstad - Varbergs BoIS	0:5 ✺
23.07.23	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.23	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	1:2
Svenska Cupen
06.03.23	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.09.22	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	2:0
20.04.22	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
21.11.21	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	0:1
10.07.21	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
02.11.20	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	1:0

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