Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 28

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.16	3.66	2.2
	3.09	3.58	2.16	Watch
	3	3.6	2
	3.32	3.79	2	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.52)	3.59 ↑ (3.59)	2.14 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
30.2%

Draw
26.1%

Degerfors
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Degerfors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Degerfors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Andersson F. (G) 22. Frigell Jansson L. 2. Broman G. 3. Zackrisson H. (C) 24. Hellman E. 9. Kurochkin A. 12. Custovic K. 23. Tokich M. 11. Bjerkebo I. 10. Montiel D. 14. Alfonsi O.	25. Forsell R. (G) 18. Gronborg T. 4. Martensson J. 30. Morgado B. (C) 2. Diaby M. 21. Pihlstrom E. 9. Lindgren G. 7. Ohlsson S. 22. Girmai N. 8. Holmen K. 10. Vukojevic D.
Substitutes
25. Abdulazeez Y. 20. Bitiqi A. 4. Dahlstrom N. 13. Edlund O. 27. Olsson D. (G) 28. Sadiku E. 5. Sverrisson O.	19. Bichis J. 11. Fisic A. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 24. Ilunga D. P. 26. Jarlesand F. (G) 17. Kassi L. 15. Moro N.
Coaches
Hansen R.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Zackrisson H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Holmen K. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
71', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
78', Montiel D. ↓, Edlund O. ↑,
78', Alfonsi O. ↓, Abdulazeez Y. ↑,
79', Lindgren G. 🟨,
84', Kurochkin A. 🟨,
87', Lindgren G. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1.

Recent matches Varberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Degerfors is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Degerfors will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Varberg won 6 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:15 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
20.10.24	Öster - Varbergs BoIS	3:4 ✺
05.10.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Skövde AIK - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTLT
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
22.10.24	Degerfors - Örebro	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Sundsvall - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Degerfors - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Sandviken - Degerfors	0:1 ✺
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.05.24	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.10.23	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	1:1
29.05.23	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
14.08.22	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
22.05.22	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	2:1
02.10.21	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	0:0
31.07.21	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1

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