Match Info

Superettan - Round 18

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Sandviken

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.80	3.60	3.75
	1.95	3.6	3.55
	2.04	3.66	3.74
	1.96	3.7	3.53	Watch
	1.99	3.55	3.6
	2	3.46	3.57	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)	3.55 ↓ (4.15)	3.57 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
47.8%

Draw
26.2%

Sandviken
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.

Sandviken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Varbergs BoIS - Sandviken Predictions

Users Predictions: Varbergs BoIS will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Strindholm D. (G) 22. Dahlstrom N. 2. Broman G. 17. Tellgren E. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 23. Sibelius L.	30. Lindell O. (G) 26. Tagesson L. 23. Harletun K. 2. Thorn G. (C) 25. Diomande V. 8. Bohm K. 15. Andersson F. 21. Kiani A. 12. Carleton A. 22. Wagner C. 7. Arvidsson J.
Substitutes
9. Bitiqi A. 15. Johansson N. 12. Kahed L. 18. Lindner J. 1. Martensson O. (G) 19. Nilsson J. 16. Thorsson A. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.	16. Abubakari M. 11. Backman V. 28. Lund A. 14. Mahammed M. 27. Persson A. (G) 24. Soderholm A. 1. Sveijer H. (G) 6. Vabo L. 4. Van der Laan V.
Coaches
Salwen V.	Lagerlof T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Bohm K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kiani A. ↓, Mahammed M. ↑,
54', Harletun K. 🟨,
54', Hellman E. 🟨,
57', Tellgren E. 🟨,
60', Carleton A. ↓, Backman V. ↑,
65', Borgelin S. ↓, Werner O. ↑,
65', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Kahed L. ↑,
73', Bohm K. ↓, Vabo L. ↑,
80', Winbo A. ↓, Thorsson A. ↑,
80', Arlig W. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
80', Sibelius L. ↓, Johansson N. ↑,
82', Harletun K. ↓, Van der Laan V. ↑,
83', Arvidsson J. ↓, Abubakari M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Varberg is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
6	Sandviken	25	10	7	8	43:33	10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
01.08.26	Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Öster - Varbergs BoIS	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Oddevold - Varbergs BoIS	2:4 ✺
27.06.26	Varbergs BoIS - Öster	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL
- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
01.08.26	Sandviken - Sundsvall	5:0 ✺
26.07.26	Ljungskile - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Norrköping - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sandviken - Helsingborg	4:2 ✺
22.06.26	Örebro - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.04.26	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:2
18.10.25	Varbergs BoIS - Sandviken	0:0
31.05.25	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
09.11.24	Varbergs BoIS - Sandviken	2:1
19.05.24	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	3:1

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