Match Info

Superettan - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.48	3.4	2.68	Watch
	2.57	3.26	2.87
				Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.5	3.37	2.68	Watch
	2.48	3.4	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.05)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	2.7 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
37.6%

Draw
28.1%

Västerås SK
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.5%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Västerås SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Varbergs BoIS - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Västerås SK will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Andersson F. (G) 4. Dahlstrom N. 12. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 13. Edlund O. 28. Sadiku E. 5. Winbo A. 14. Alfonsi O. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 10. Shabani L.	1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 42. Hartzell T. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Gunnarsson K. 8. Diagne M. 44. Larsson M. 10. Ring J. 27. Bibout A. 17. Axel T.
Substitutes
19. Appiah Nyarko K. 1. Ekman O. (G) 22. Frigell Jansson L. 17. Olausson L. 23. Tokich M. 21. Vidjeskog I. 25. Wiklund A.	25. Bernardini A. (G) 11. Gefvert S. 24. Johansson J. 2. Magnusson H. 19. Magnusson J. 7. Ribeiro P. 33. Vilar B.
Coaches
Hansen R.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Diagne M. 🟨,
29', Winbo A. 🟨,
29', Jonasson Westermark J. 🟨,
39', Nsabiyumva F. ↓, Vilar B. ↑,
41', Dahlstrom N. 🟨,
42', Gunnarsson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Jonasson Westermark J. ⚽,
70', Winbo A. ↓, Vidjeskog I. ↑,
73', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
73', Wernersson V. ↓, Gefvert S. ↑,
73', Hartzell T. ↓, Magnusson H. ↑,
80', Shabani L. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
80', Edlund O. ↓, Tokich M. ↑,
82', Larsson M. 🟨,
88', Diagne M. ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
90', Jonasson Westermark J. ↓, Olausson L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).

Varberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Västerås SK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
31.05.25	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
22.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	4:2 ✺
16.05.25	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	5:1 ✺
11.05.25	Östersund - Varbergs BoIS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLW
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
26.05.25	Oddevold - Västerås SK	1:5 ✺
21.05.25	Västerås SK - Östersund	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
26.02.23	Varbergs BoIS - Västerås SK	0:2
Swedish Superettan
05.10.19	Varbergs BoIS - Västerås SK	4:0
04.05.19	Västerås SK - Varbergs BoIS	1:2

Upcoming Matches