Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Vard Haugesund		Kvik Halden

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	5.75
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.36	6.09	5.14
	1.34	5.91	6.7
	1.34	4.9	6.73
	1.36	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)	5.11 ↑ (4.51)	6.55 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vard Haugesund
67.9%

Draw
18%

Kvik Halden
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

20.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

18.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vard Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vard Haugesund's performance.

Kvik Halden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kvik Halden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vard Haugesund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvik Halden than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kvik Halden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vard Haugesund - Kvik Halden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strand S. (G) 18. Apeland K. 2. Berland E. 8. Bjornebye T. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 6. Harvey A. 3. Helgesen S. 21. Jensen J. 7. Jensen S. (C) 30. Soderlund A.	1. Lund S. (G) 14. Blackwell Z. 3. Grimstad M. 25. Hagen H. (C) 11. Johansen J. 19. Molund A. 23. Myklebust A. 9. Naesheim O. 16. Pereira K. 58. Sani S. 77. Skarn C.
Substitutes
5. Dobosz A. 20. Ekrene A. 24. Emberland D. B. (G) 17. Fauskanger P. 4. Jonassen J. 14. Osdautaj D. 12. Shala E. 16. Thorsen J. 22. Tjoland M.	42. Jatta M. 4. Kohberg S. 47. Lorentzen K. 28. Luis Canina 2. Ostvold J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Apeland K. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Bjornebye T. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Harvey A. ⚽,
39', 4 - 0, Dvergsdal T. ⚽,
43', 5 - 0, Apeland K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Grimstad M. ↓, Lorentzen K. ↑,
46', Myklebust A. ↓, Luis Canina ↑,
46', Naesheim O. ↓, Ostvold J. ↑,
46', Blackwell Z. ↓, Jatta M. ↑,
47', Jatta M. 🟨,
61', 6 - 0, Tjoland M. ⚽,
73', 7 - 0, Osdautaj D. ⚽,
85', 8 - 0, Dvergsdal T. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Kvik Halden is Relegated to

Recent matches Vard Haugesund is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kvik Halden has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vard Haugesund is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vard Haugesund won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Vard Haugesund won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.10.24	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Jerv - Vard Haugesund	5:2 ✺
23.09.24	Vard Haugesund - Brann 2	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
08.09.24	Vard Haugesund - Hødd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWLW
- Kvik Halden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.10.24	Kvik Halden - Brattvåg	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sotra - Kvik Halden	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Kvik Halden - Hødd	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Kvik Halden - Lysekloster	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Notodden - Kvik Halden	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.04.24	Kvik Halden - Vard Haugesund	1:3
10.09.22	Vard Haugesund - Kvik Halden	2:2
18.06.22	Kvik Halden - Vard Haugesund	2:0

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