Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Straume Fotballhall (Straume)


	Sotra		Vard Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.55	5.9
	1.46	4.5	6.22
	1.56	3.87	5.67	Watch
	1.4	4.45	6.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.34 ↓ (4.63)	6.01 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
63.3%

Draw
21.3%

Vard Haugesund
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

19.8%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Vard Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Sotra - Vard Haugesund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 7. Falck F. 11. Heltne T. 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 17. Koko J. 24. Larsen E. 86. Mvuka B. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D. (C) 6. Wik S.	1. Strand S. (G) 9. Alvsaker M. 6. Banda P. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 3. Helgesen S. 5. Helgesen T. 7. Jensen S. 26. Karamoko B. 10. Lille-Lovo S. 2. Lonning A.
Substitutes
22. Bildoy M. 5. Davoy Skar O. M. 15. Haaland S. L. 9. Hoviskeland J. 18. Oren D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G)	17. Apeland K. 14. Brakedal S. 23. Eikje M. 24. Emberland D. (G) 18. Hauge A. 21. Jensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Falck F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Apeland K. ↑,
72', Helgesen T. ↓, Hauge A. ↑,
77', Alvsaker M. 🟨,
81', Mvuka B. 🟨,
82', Wik S. ↓, Davoy Skar O. M. ↑,
84', Alvsaker M. ↓, Eikje M. ↑,
87', Eide A. 🟨,
87', Mvuka B. ↓, Hoviskeland J. ↑,
90+3', Falck F. 🟨,
90+4', Koko J. ↓, Bildoy M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion: ) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sotra won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sotra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sotra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sotra won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sotra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.10.25	Jerv - Sotra	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Sandviken - Sotra	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sotra - Pors	5:0 ✺
13.09.25	Notodden - Sotra	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sotra - Arendal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTW
- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
04.10.25	Vard Haugesund - Pors	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vard Haugesund - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Vard Haugesund - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.04.25	Vard Haugesund - Sotra	0:2
14.09.24	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	4:0
20.04.24	Vard Haugesund - Sotra	1:1
13.08.22	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	5:2
11.06.22	Vard Haugesund - Sotra	0:2
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Vard Haugesund - Sotra	0:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
06.11.21	Vard Haugesund - Sotra	2:1

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