Match Info

1. MFL - Round 29

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)


	Vardar		Besa Dobërdoll

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.37	4.3	7.2
	1.29	4.38	9.43
	1.33	4.47	8.9
	1.3	4.7	8.75
	1.33	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	4.43 ↓ (4.5)	8.21 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
68.3%

Draw
20.6%

Besa Dobërdoll
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Besa Dobërdoll has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Dobërdoll than the current prediction. (+4%)

Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Taleski D. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 7. Dongmo D. 21. Jankulov G. 4. Matic M. 9. Omeragikj A. 75. Senghor F. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 22. Todorovski D. 10. Zakaric G. (C)	35. Zahov K. (G) 5. Alimi A. (C) 15. Fetai I. 44. Kanda Y. 4. Ljamalari A. 11. Ljatifi A. 21. Neziri M. 14. Samake A. 7. Shefiti S. 29. Siljanovski G. 9. Stojanovski V.
Substitutes
26. Cikarski M. 23. Duranski F. 87. Gacevski F. (G) 3. Manevski M. 47. Mato R. 90. Mecinovic J. 18. Mishkovski N. 5. Najdovski F. 20. Nikolovski K. 15. Sekovski D. 30. Sharkoski N.	88. Ali H. 10. Esati D. 13. Fatlum S. 90. Gavric N. 34. Mustafa E. 77. Nuredini J. 3. Rexhepi A. 8. Selmani R. 1. Siljanovski D. (G) 23. Velija B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Zakaric G. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Bosancic N. 🟨,
50', Senghor F. 🟨,
56', Bosancic N. ↓, Manevski M. ↑,
56', Spahiu E. ↓, Mato R. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Zakaric G. ⚽,
60', Kanda Y. ↓, Esati D. ↑,
60', Ljatifi A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
67', 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vardar won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Besa Dobërdoll could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vardar is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vardar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Vardar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian Cup
23.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
19.04.25	Voska Sport - Vardar	Vardar awarded ✺
Club Friendly
16.04.25	Vardar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.04.25	Vardar - Tikveš	2:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.04.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 T?LTW
- Besa Dobërdoll
North Macedonian 1 MFL
19.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Sileks - Besa Dobërdoll	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Rabotnički - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Struga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
01.03.25	Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll	0:0
20.10.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	2:1
North Macedonian Cup
20.09.23	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	1:2 penalties
North Macedonian 2 MFL
08.04.23	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	2:1
16.10.22	Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0
23.04.22	Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0
07.12.21	Besa Dobërdoll - Vardar	0:1

Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide