Match Info

1. MFL - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	AP Brera Strumica		Vardar

	1	X	2
	7.9	4.05	1.36
	8.77	4.44	1.34	Watch
	8.35	4.25	1.34
	5.33	4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.59 ↑ (5.48)	4.19 ↓ (4.25)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AP Brera Strumica
12%

Draw
21.8%

Vardar
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

21.3%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.3%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

AP Brera Strumica - Vardar Predictions

Users Predictions: Vardar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Iloski D. (G) 20. Ivanovski Z. 21. Lukovic L. 88. Makic E. 22. Mihailov F. (C) 26. Ristovski D. 24. Stojilevski M. 8. Todorov M. 7. Velickovski N. 3. Velkov A. 91. Velkov B.	95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 32. Castaneda D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 5. Najdovski F. 29. Olaosebikan I. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M.
Substitutes
33. Arizankoski A. 25. Cuestas M. 77. Drame H. 28. Hassan W. 9. Ndzengue F. 29. Shirikj I. 99. Stojanov K. 90. Taleski G. 11. Tanchev I. 23. Trawally F. 1. Vrgov S. (G)	42. Bayo F. 88. Bosancic N. 11. Danev D. 23. Duranski F. 25. Kjosevski V. (G) 18. Mishkovski N. 90. Ramathan M. 75. Senghor F. 8. Tchimbembe W. 22. Todorovski D. 10. Zakaric G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Makic E. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Talevski M. ⚽,
63', Castaneda D. 🟨,
64', Velickovski N. ↓, Ndzengue F. ↑,
64', Ristovski D. ↓, Stojanov K. ↑,
64', Velkov B. ↓, Arizankoski A. ↑,
64', Spahiu E. ↓, Bosancic N. ↑,
64', Babunski D. ↓, Todorovski D. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Todorovski D. ⚽,
76', Talevski M. ↓, Danev D. ↑,
76', Castaneda D. ↓, Tchimbembe W. ↑,
80', Jankulov G. 🟨,
84', Makic E. ↓, Taleski G. ↑,
84', Mihailov F. ↓, Shirikj I. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 1.

Brera Strumica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vardar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Vardar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brera Strumica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.11.25	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	AP Brera Strumica - Sileks	3:3 ✺
31.10.25	AP Brera Strumica - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Struga - AP Brera Strumica	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	AP Brera Strumica - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LTLWT
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.11.25	Vardar - Tikveš	3:1 ✺
05.11.25	Pelister - Vardar	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Vardar - Sileks	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
22.10.25	Vardar - Novaci	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
22.08.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	2:2
North Macedonian Cup
23.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	1:1
09.04.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	3:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	0:2
30.10.24	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	0:1
11.08.24	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	3:1
28.04.24	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	2:0

AP Brera Strumica - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide