The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varea 29.4%
Draw 30%
Calahorra 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
28.6%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
29.4%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varea's form might have worsened.
Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calahorra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Varea - Calahorra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Taha M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Ubis E. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
In recent matches, Varea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Calahorra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Calahorra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Varea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Watch
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