Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Varea		Haro Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.65
	1.84	3.47	3.96
	1.83	3.48	3.94	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.93	3.64	3.64
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.51)	3.45 ↓ (3.81)	3.78 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varea
49.3%

Draw
26.5%

Haro Deportivo
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varea's form might have worsened.

Haro Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haro Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haro Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varea - Haro Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 3 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 4.

Varea is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Haro Deportivo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Varea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Varea is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varea won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Varea won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.12.25	Agoncillo - Varea	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Calahorra - Varea	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Varea - Comillas	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vianés - Varea	1:5 ✺
26.10.25	Varea - Arnedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWL
- Haro Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.12.25	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Autol - Haro Deportivo	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Berceo	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Oyonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.01.25	Varea - Haro Deportivo	8:0
18.02.24	Varea - Haro Deportivo	1:0
01.10.23	Haro Deportivo - Varea	0:3
29.01.23	Haro Deportivo - Varea	1:1
25.09.22	Varea - Haro Deportivo	1:0
03.04.22	Varea - Haro Deportivo	2:0
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Varea - Haro Deportivo	1:2

Varea - Haro Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide