Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Agoncillo		Varea

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.2	1.98
	3.47	3.3	2.02
	3.47	3.32	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.56	2.04
	3.4	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.7)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agoncillo
26.9%

Draw
27.5%

Varea
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

28.9%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agoncillo's form might have worsened.

Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Agoncillo - Varea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Agoncillo won 2.

Agoncillo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Agoncillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Agoncillo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Agoncillo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Agoncillo - Autol	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Berceo - Agoncillo	1:6 ✺
01.11.25	Agoncillo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTL
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.11.25	Calahorra - Varea	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Varea - Comillas	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vianés - Varea	1:5 ✺
26.10.25	Varea - Arnedo	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Varea - La Calzada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.05.25	Agoncillo - Varea	2:2
12.01.25	Varea - Agoncillo	3:2
19.02.23	Varea - Agoncillo	2:1
16.10.22	Agoncillo - Varea	2:0
30.01.22	Agoncillo - Varea	1:0
17.09.21	Varea - Agoncillo	4:0
20.12.20	Varea - Agoncillo	2:1

Agoncillo - Varea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide