Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Varese		Asti

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.65
	1.77	3.30	4.42	Watch
	1.9	3.18	3.84
	1.81	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	3.23 ↓ (3.53)	4.03 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
49.3%

Draw
28.1%

Asti
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

28.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-3%)

Varese - Asti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Chillemi S. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Chillemi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In recent matches, Varese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Asti is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Varese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Varese is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.10.25	Vado - Varese	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Varese - NovaRomentin	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ligorna - Varese	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Varese - Biellese	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Club Milano - Varese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.10.25	Asti - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	NovaRomentin - Asti	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.10.25	Asti - Biellese	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	NovaRomentin - Asti	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Asti - Chisola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
23.02.25	Varese - Asti	1:1
23.10.24	Asti - Varese	1:0
28.01.24	Varese - Asti	3:0
06.03.22	Asti - Varese	1:1
24.10.21	Varese - Asti	1:1

Varese - Asti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide