The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vado 44.9%
Draw 29.2%
Varese 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
29%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
28%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Vado - Varese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Cogliati P. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Ciccone N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Messina M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Barwuah E. ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vado won 2.
Vado is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Varese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Varese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vado is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vado won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.5:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).