Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 10

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.3	3.08	2.84
	2.27	3.24	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.96)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.86 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
39.9%

Draw
28.6%

Varese
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Valle's form might have worsened.

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Villa Valle is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Città di Varese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.10.22	Caronnese - Villa Valle	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Villa Valle - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Brusaporto - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Breno - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Villa Valle - Sona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWTWW
- Varese FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
01.11.22	Varesina - Varese	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
29.10.22	Varese - Arconatese	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Desenzano Calvina - Varese	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Varese - Breno	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	Varesina - Varese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Real Calepina - Villa Valle	✺
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.10.26	Varese - Oltrepo	✺

Villa Valle - Varese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide