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Current Win Probability
Arconatese 45.6%
Draw 28.3%
Caronnese 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
28.8%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
25.5%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).
Recent matches Arconatese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Caronnese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arconatese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Arconatese won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Arconatese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.