Match Info
Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/32-finalsDate: 7 October 2026, Wednesday
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 |
|
 |
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Varese |
|
Pro Patria |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
1.75 |
|
 |
3.90 |
3.10 |
1.85 |
|
 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
1.82 |
|
 |
4.26 |
3.11 |
1.82 |
|
 |
3.96 |
3.26 |
1.87 |
Watch |
 |
4.2 |
3.05 |
1.77 |
|
 |
4.09 |
3.57 |
1.84 |
|
 |
3.95 |
3.35 |
1.82 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.01 ↑ (3.27) |
3.26 ↓ (3.3) |
1.82 ↓ (2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Varese 22.5% | Draw 27.8% | Pro Patria 49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varese's form might have worsened.Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Varese - Pro Patria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Maistrello T. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Mapelli F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 0 - 3, Boinaidi S. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 3, Gallotti E. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 3, Castellucchio G. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 4, Gianola F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', 2 - 5, Bianchini G. ⚽,
Preview
In recent outings, Varese has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).Pro Patria shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Pro Patria may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. In this matchup, Pro Patria is considered the favorite to take the win. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;