Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Cairese		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.1	2.35
	2.79	3.15	2.4	Watch
	2.73	3.08	2.38
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 (2.78)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cairese
32.7%

Draw
29.2%

Varese
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.1%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cairese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cairese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Cairese - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Federico G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Cairese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cairese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cairese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Cairese
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Biellese - Cairese	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Lavagnese - Cairese	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cairese - Chisola	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cairese - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Valenzana Mado - Cairese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTT
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Varese - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Chisola - Varese	3:4 ✺
04.01.26	Varese - Imperia	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Varese - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Saluzzo - Varese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.09.25	Varese - Cairese	2:1
27.04.25	Varese - Cairese	0:0
15.12.24	Cairese - Varese	0:1

Cairese - Varese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide