The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 66.7%
Draw 20.7%
Ciliverghe di Mazzano 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.4%
19.8%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
19%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Ciliverghe di Mazzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciliverghe di Mazzano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Varesina - Ciliverghe di Mazzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Bertoli M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Bertoli M. (Pen),
23', 3 - 0, Mazia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
67', 4 - 0, Miconi R. ⚽,
68', 4 - 1, Orlandi A. ⚽,
74', 4 - 2, Triglia A. ⚽,
76', 5 - 2, Bertoli M. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Varesina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Ciliverghe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Varesina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Varesina is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Varesina to win the game is with odds 1.35.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2