The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 22.2%
Draw 25.7%
Piacenza 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
27.9%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
27.7%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varesina's form might have worsened.
Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piacenza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piacenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Recino G. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Ndoye M. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Manicone C. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Orellana C. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Varesina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Piacenza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Piacenza will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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