The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 68.6%
Draw 19.6%
Ponte San Pietro Isola 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.5%
20.1%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.1%
19.1%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Ponte San Pietro Isola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Ponte San Pietro Isola aligns with the current prediction.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 1, Amoabeng F. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Vitale V. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Varesina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ponte San Pietro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ponte San Pietro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Varesina is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Varesina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Varesina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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