Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Varesina		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.54	3.14	2.63	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.48	3.1	2.58
	2.45	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	2.62 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
36.4%

Draw
29.2%

Caldiero Terme
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Varesina - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Gentile T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).

Varesina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caldiero Terme's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Caldiero Terme - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 33.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Varesina - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Chievo - Varesina	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Varesina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Club Milano - Varesina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Caldiero Terme - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villa Valle - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Brusaporto - Caldiero Terme	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
07.04.24	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	0:2
26.11.23	Caldiero Terme - Varesina	1:0

Varesina - Caldiero Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide