Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: FNL - Round 29

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Orel P. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Varnsdorf		Příbram

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4.2
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.66	4.21	4.43
	1.7	3.91	4.5
	1.61	4.11	4.61	Watch
	1.65	4.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.21)	4.05 ↑ (3.19)	4.36 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
56.2%

Draw
22.7%

Příbram
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.

Příbram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Příbram might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varnsdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Příbram than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Příbram could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Varnsdorf - Příbram Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Varnsdorf will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Příbram will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pesl L. (G) 14. Gembicky D. 5. Kosar J. 21. Kubista M. 15. Polyak T. 19. Rudnytskyy P. (C) 10. Samko D. 12. Stransky V. 13. Vojta M. 11. Yuzvak A. 20. Zalesak R.	26. Melichar M. (G) 30. Antwi E. 33. Brabec J. 3. Conk M. 24. Fall N. 4. Fisl D. 10. Husbauer J. (C) 5. Jahic H. 32. Matousek F. 20. Necas J. 16. Svestka P.
Substitutes
17. Babatunde T. 7. Dufek L. 22. Kouril M. 9. Kriz D. 23. Podzimek O. 33. Vanak M. (G) 6. Vlk M.	1. Bleha O. (G) 2. Cejka F. 17. Dudl V. 77. Hasek P. 21. Hosek M. 45. Hudec J. 9. Krch D.
Coaches
Holenak M.	Kohout J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Conk M. ↓, Dudl V. ↑,
34', Kosar J. ↓, Kouril M. ↑,
38', Yuzvak A. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fall N. ↓, Hasek P. ↑,
65', Necas J. ↓, Krch D. ↑,
65', Brabec J. ↓, Cejka F. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Vojta M. ⚽,
81', Rudnytskyy P. ↓, Dufek L. ↑,
81', Gembicky D. ↓, Kriz D. ↑,
86', Svestka P. ↓, Hosek M. ↑,
90+3', Hosek M. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 2.

Recent matches Varnsdorf is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Příbram is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Příbram could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Varnsdorf is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
12.05.24	Viktoria Žižkov - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
08.05.24	Varnsdorf - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	3:2 ✺
03.05.24	Vysočina Jihlava - Varnsdorf	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Vyškov - Varnsdorf	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTLW
- 1. FK Příbram
Czech Division 2
11.05.24	Příbram - Vysočina Jihlava	1:1 ✺
08.05.24	Prostějov - Příbram	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Příbram - Zbrojovka Brno	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Chrudim - Příbram	6:3 ✺
20.04.24	Příbram - Táborsko	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
03.11.23	Příbram - Varnsdorf	2:2
31.03.23	Příbram - Varnsdorf	1:2
31.08.22	Varnsdorf - Příbram	1:2
13.03.22	Varnsdorf - Příbram	3:0
14.08.21	Příbram - Varnsdorf	2:2
08.05.18	Varnsdorf - Příbram	2:5
23.08.17	Příbram - Varnsdorf	3:1

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