The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varnsdorf 69.3%
Draw 16.7%
Slovan Liberec B 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
19.2%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
18.3%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.
Slovan Liberec B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Liberec B than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Varnsdorf - Slovan Liberec B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roze V. (G) 16. Ahile T. 15. Boryshpolets S. 17. Gavrylyuk N. 3. Hora J. 13. Hudak J. 6. Jandac L. 24. Lopez M. 11. Sirenko O. 2. Sokol J. 4. Tymoshenko I. (C)
1. Musil J. (G) 18. Brtinsky S. 21. Cistecky S. 11. Filipek M. 37. Kulha M. (C) 20. Kurc M. 7. Michal K. 22. Pozler J. 19. Prinda J. 10. Strnad M. 6. Zitnan L.
Substitutes
12. Emmer J. 18. Grafek D. 14. Matviychuk I. 22. Pechenyi N. 5. Pinchuk Y. 10. Senko K. 33. Shnurko D. (G)
34. Horacek M. (G) 16. Kaspar V. 28. Kavan F. 23. Ogboi K. 8. Tvercovici N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ahile T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Brtinsky S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gavrylyuk N. ↓, Senko K. ↑,
47', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
58', Hora J. ↓, Matviychuk I. ↑,
58', Sirenko O. ↓, Emmer J. ↑,
61', Hudak J. ↓, Grafek D. ↑,
66', Prinda J. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
74', Michal K. 🟨,
78', Cistecky S. ↓, Kaspar V. ↑,
87', Lopez M. ↓, Pinchuk Y. ↑,
90', Strnad M. ↓, Tvercovici N. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 3.
Varnsdorf has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Slovan Liberec B is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Slovan Liberec B may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Varnsdorf enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Varnsdorf has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:14 (averaging 3.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Varnsdorf against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:7 goals (averaging 3.8:1.2 per game).