Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Varzim		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.2	3.25	2.95
	2.16	3.2	3.3
	2.23	3.4	3.43
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.19	3.26	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.24)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.17 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
42.6%

Draw
28.1%

Cova De Piedade
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

20.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cova De Piedade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varzim - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Varzim is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cova De Piedade is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cova De Piedade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Varzim have a series of guest games.

Varzim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Varzim won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.20	Benfica B - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.20	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.20	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Mafra - Varzim	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
28.10.20	Rebordelo - Varzim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLW
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
28.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Feirense	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.20	Marinhense - Cova De Piedade	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.11.20	Estoril Praia - Cova De Piedade	Estoril awarded ✺
24.10.20	Cova De Piedade - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLW?W

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
23.02.20	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	1:2
14.09.19	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:1
12.05.19	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	0:0
09.01.19	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
21.07.18	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
22.04.18	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	1:1
10.12.17	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:2

Varzim - Cova De Piedade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide