Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Benfica B		Varzim

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.78	3.5	3.95
	1.97	3.25	3.8
	1.98	3.44	4.19
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.93	3.44	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.57)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	3.83 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
48.3%

Draw
27.8%

Varzim
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

25.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

20.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+24.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica B - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Benfica B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Varzim have a series of home games.

Benfica B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.22	Chaves - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
21.02.22	Benfica B - Farense	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	Covilhã - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
04.02.22	Benfica B - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
28.01.22	Trofense - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.22	Varzim - Feirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.22	Estrela da Amadora - Varzim	0:0 ✺
17.02.22	Varzim - Farense	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Varzim - Leixões	1:1 ✺
08.02.22	Varzim - Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.10.21	Varzim - Benfica B	0:2
02.04.21	Varzim - Benfica B	2:1
30.11.20	Benfica B - Varzim	1:0
13.12.19	Benfica B - Varzim	3:3
16.02.19	Varzim - Benfica B	0:1
22.09.18	Benfica B - Varzim	1:0
04.02.18	Varzim - Benfica B	1:3

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