Match Info

Brasileiro A2 Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Vasco da Gama		Itabirito

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.60
	1.6	3.55	4.6
	1.64	3.76	4.62	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.55
	1.51	3.92	5.23
	1.6	3.65	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.87)	3.71 ↑ (3.35)	4.7 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
56.6%

Draw
24.3%

Itabirito
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabirito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+5%)

Vasco da Gama - Itabirito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1.

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Vasco has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Itabirito has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Itabirito may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Vasco carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Vasco in today's match, at odds of 1.53.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vasco has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 3:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
13.09.26	Itabirito - Vasco da Gama	1:3 ✺
07.09.26	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Piauiense	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Atlético Piauiense - Vasco da Gama	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Taubaté - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Itabirito FC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
13.09.26	Itabirito - Vasco da Gama	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro Women
09.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Itabirito	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
06.09.26	Itabirito - Minas Brasília	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Minas Brasília - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Itabirito - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
13.09.26	Itabirito - Vasco da Gama	1:3
04.04.26	Itabirito - Vasco da Gama	0:3

Vasco da Gama - Itabirito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide