The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vegalta Sendai 65.6%
Draw 20.9%
Thespakusatsu Gunma 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
21.2%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.3%
20.3%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vegalta Sendai - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 3. Okuyama M. 44. Inoue S. 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 22. Takada R. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 2. Igarashi S. 11. Kobayashi K. 27. Iwabuchi H.
13. Kondo I. (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 8. Kamigaki R. 38. Konishi H. 7. Nishimura Y. 27. Fujimura R. 19. Farzan Sana M. 17. Hyakuda M. 20. Shimokawa T. 99. Nakashima T.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 1. Hotta D. (G) 17. Kudo A. 30. Nishimaru M. 5. Sugata M. 8. Takeda H. 18. Umeki T. 40. Yasuno T. 26. Yokoyama S.
36. Adachi S. 69. Izuma S. 11. Kagami T. 14. Kikuchi K. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 29. Matsumoto K. 37. Sehata G. 2. Tagashira R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Shimokawa T. ⚽,
27', Nishimura Y. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Igarashi S. ⚽, Mateus Moraes (A),
38', Kondo I. 🟨,
43', Nose S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Iwabuchi H. ⚽,
61', Fujimura R. 🟨,
63', Farzan Sana M. ↓, Tagashira R. ↑,
64', Nishimura Y. ↓, Sehata G. ↑,
66', Nakashima T. 🟨,
69', Kobayashi K. ↓, Yasuno T. ↑,
69', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
73', Yasuno T. 🟨,
73', Yasuno T. 🟨,
77', Shimokawa T. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
77', Fujimura R. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
79', Sagara R. ↓, Takeda H. ↑,
79', Okuyama M. ↓, Sugata M. ↑,
83', Kamigaki R. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
87', Kamada H. ↓, Kudo A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Tagashira R. ⚽, Nose S. (A),
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Nakashima T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sugata M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tagashira R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takeda H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Adachi S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Igarashi S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hyakuda M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Takada R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Izuma S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Araki S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Matsumoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Matsui R. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Konishi H. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Kudo A. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Kondo I. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Mateus Moraes (Penalty Awarded),
9, Nose S. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Inoue S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 2.
Sendai is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Thespakusatsu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sendai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sendai is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Sendai will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
China
Japan
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Hayashi A. (G) 
Mateus Moraes 
Kim Je-hee (G) 
