Match Info

J2 League - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Yurtec Stadium Sendai (Sendai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vegalta Sendai		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.02	3.45	3.2
	2.14	3.75	3.41
	2.28	3.36	3.00	Watch
	2.06	3.52	3.22	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	3.5 ↑ (3.42)	3.21 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
44.6%

Draw
26.5%

Omiya Ardija
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omiya: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sendai (votes: 1 - 50%). Omiya (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hotta D. (G) 25. Mase T. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 3. Okuyama M. 32. Yamauchi H. 6. Matsui R. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 11. Goke Y. 99. Miyazaki K.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 34. Murakami Y. 44. Fukui K. 20. Shimoguchi W. 7. Kojima M. 30. Arthur Feitoza 14. Izumi T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 29. Caprini 90. Sunday O.
Substitutes
47. Araki S. 9. Eron 39. Ishio R. 17. Kudo A. 19. Mateus Moraes 48. Nakada Y. 2. Takada R. 8. Takeda H. 21. Umeda R. (G)	42. Fujii K. 21. Kato Y. (G) 22. Motegi R. 15. Nakayama K. 23. Sugimoto K. 28. Tomiyama T. 18. Tsukui T. 33. Wada T. 41. Yachida T.
Coaches
Moriyama Y.	Miyazawa Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Miyazaki K. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Caprini ⚽, Izumi T. (A),
45+2', Inoue S. 🟨,
45+3', Caprini 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yamauchi H. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
46', Okuyama M. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
46', Matsui R. ↓, Takeda H. ↑,
53', Caprini (Pen),
54', 1 - 1, Goke Y. ⚽,
61', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
67', Inoue S. 🟨,
70', Miyazaki K. ↓, Takada R. ↑,
76', Izumi T. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
76', Sunday O. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Fukui K. ⚽, Wada T. (A),
86', Caprini ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
86', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Tomiyama T. ↑,
90+3', Sagara R. ↓, Nakada Y. ↑,
90+5', Shimoguchi W. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 2.

Sendai is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Omiya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sendai could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Montedio Yamagata	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ehime - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
27.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Omiya Ardija - Imabari	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai	3:0
19.08.23	Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija	1:0
21.05.23	Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai	1:1
13.08.22	Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija	2:3
21.05.22	Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai	2:4
Japan Emperors Cup
11.07.18	Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija	1:0
Japan J1 League
18.11.17	Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija	3:0

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