Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 1

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)


	Sagamihara		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.05	2.88
	2.33	3.2	3.04
	2.33	3.26	3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.31	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.33	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.42)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	2.91 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
39.6%

Draw
28.9%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Sagamihara - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sugimoto D. (G) 2. Watahiki K. 37. Yamauchi R. 5. Kato D. 18. Miki K. 23. Takusari Y. 17. Takeuchi T. 15. Maeda T. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Ando T.	13. Kondo I. (G) 25. Nakano R. 43. Nose S. 14. Kikuchi K. 38. Konishi H. 4. Tamashiro T. 37. Sehata G. 11. Kagami T. 2. Tagashira R. 20. Shimokawa T. 17. Hyakuda M.
Substitutes
8. Kambe K. 1. Miura M. (G) 11. Muto Y. 19. Okita S. 9. Sasaki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 16. Takano R. 7. Tanahashi A. 6. Tokunaga Y.	69. Izuma S. 8. Kamigaki R. 29. Matsumoto K. 7. Nishimura Y. 22. Nuki M. 3. Ohata R. 16. Shiga K. (G) 97. Song M. 6. Yonehara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Maeda T. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Sugimoto R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Konishi H. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Takusari Y. ⚽, Nakayama R. (A),
60', Takeuchi T. 🟨,
64', 4 - 0, Maeda T. ⚽, Miki K. (A),
66', Kagami T. ↓, Song M. ↑,
66', Shimokawa T. ↓, Nishimura Y. ↑,
66', Sehata G. ↓, Kamigaki R. ↑,
66', Kikuchi K. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
71', Maeda T. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
71', Ando T. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
77', Takeuchi T. ↓, Shimakawa T. ↑,
77', Sugimoto D. ↓, Miura M. ↑,
77', Sugimoto R. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
86', Nose S. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Yamauchi R. ⚽, Miki K. (A),

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
01.03.26	Sagamihara - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Shonan Bellmare - Sagamihara	4:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	0:5 ✺
24.11.25	Nara Club - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 J3 League
28.02.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Blaublitz Akita	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Kochi United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1
13.04.25	Sagamihara - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	4:1 ET
Japan J2 League
07.11.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1
06.03.21	Sagamihara - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0

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