Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Velarde		Cartes

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	1.83	3.22	3.8
	1.85	3.34	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.17)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	3.76 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velarde
48.5%

Draw
27.6%

Cartes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velarde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Velarde's performance.

Cartes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Velarde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartes than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Velarde is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cartes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Velarde will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Velarde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.02.24	Tropezón - Velarde	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Velarde - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Escobedo - Velarde	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Vimenor - Velarde	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Velarde - Torina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLLT
- UC Cartes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.02.24	Cartes - Sámano	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Guarnizo - Cartes	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Cartes - Laredo	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Tropezón - Cartes	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Cartes - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
30.09.23	Cartes - Velarde	3:1

Velarde - Cartes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide