Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Velbert		Rödinghausen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.55	1.9
	3.71	3.63	1.93
	3.68	3.5	1.85
	3.45	3.55	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	3.56 ↓ (3.78)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
25.6%

Draw
25.8%

Rödinghausen
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rödinghausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Velbert - Rödinghausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Velbert has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rödinghausen's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Velbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rödinghausen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
25.09.25	Velbert - Bocholt	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	5:0 ✺
17.09.25	Velbert - Bonner	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Velbert - Gütersloh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL
- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
27.09.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gütersloh - Rödinghausen	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
12.04.24	Velbert - Rödinghausen	0:0
21.10.23	Rödinghausen - Velbert	4:1
30.04.16	Velbert - Rödinghausen	0:0
08.08.15	Rödinghausen - Velbert	4:1

Velbert - Rödinghausen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide