The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Velež Mostar 44%
Draw 29.2%
Široki Brijeg 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
30.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
27%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velež Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Široki Brijeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Velež Mostar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Široki Brijeg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Široki Brijeg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 9th in the Relegation and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velež Mostar won 4.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Velež Mostar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Velež Mostar has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:23 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Velež Mostar against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:12 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).