Match Info

4. liga - Group D - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Velké Meziříčí		Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.58
	2.40	3.43	2.64	Watch
	2.26	3.86	2.63
	2.24	3.58	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velké Meziříčí
40.1%

Draw
25%

Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velké Meziříčí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velké Meziříčí than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Velké Meziříčí - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

Velké Meziříčí is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Žďár nad Sázavou has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Velké Meziříčí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velké Meziříčí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Velké Meziříčí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Velké Meziříčí - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Velké Meziříčí
Czech 4 Liga Group D
04.10.25	Sparta Brno - Velké Meziříčí	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Velké Meziříčí - Chotěboř	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kuřim - Velké Meziříčí	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Velké Meziříčí - Znojmo	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Spartak Velká Bíteš - Velké Meziříčí	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWTT
- FC Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou
Czech 4 Liga Group D
05.10.25	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Slovan Havlíčkův Brod	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Sokol Tasovice - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	FS Trebic - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Tatran Bohunice	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Humpolec - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 4 Liga Group D
09.03.25	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Velké Meziříčí	6:0
04.08.24	Velké Meziříčí - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	0:3
14.04.24	Velké Meziříčí - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	2:4
10.09.23	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Velké Meziříčí	1:0
Club Friendly
19.06.21	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Velké Meziříčí	0:5

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