Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 14

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Velo Clube		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.25	2.97	3.29
	2.23	3.18	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.17)	3.1 ↑ (3)	3.13 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
41.3%

Draw
29.5%

EC Primavera
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Velo Clube - EC Primavera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Velo Clube is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Primavera is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Velo Clube could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Velo Clube will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.23	Velo Clube - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Velo Clube - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Velo Clube - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Rio Claro - Velo Clube	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWT
- EC Primavera
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.23	EC Primavera - Linense	1:1 ✺
22.02.23	Ponte Preta - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	EC Primavera - EC Lemense	2:2 ✺
15.02.23	Portuguesa Santista - EC Primavera	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.02.22	EC Primavera - Velo Clube	1:1

Velo Clube - EC Primavera

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Velo Clube - EC Primavera Predictions

Preview

Form

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