Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 6

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Velo Clube		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.3	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.1	2.99	2.02
	3.29	2.99	2.21
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	3.26	3.18	2.19
	3.15	3.05	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.83)	3.07 ↓ (3.11)	2.16 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
28.6%

Draw
29.5%

Ferroviária
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.4%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

30.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Velo Clube - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	Velo Clube - Portuguesa Santista	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Osasco Sporting - Velo Clube	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	CA Juventus - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Velo Clube - Atlético Monte Azul	2:1 ✺
17.01.24	Linense - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLWW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Comercial SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Ferroviária - São Bento	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Ferroviária - CA Juventus	2:1 ✺
17.01.24	Atlético Monte Azul - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTWT

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