Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 8

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Ferroviária		Piracicaba

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	2.22	3	4.18
	2.21	2.59	3.94	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.13	2.66	3.9
	2.2	2.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.45)	2.75 ↓ (3.04)	3.84 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
42.5%

Draw
33.5%

Piracicaba
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Piracicaba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Piracicaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferroviária - Piracicaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Paulo Marcelo (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 9).

Ferroviária has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Piracicaba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviária might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.02.26	Ferroviária - São Bento	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Santo André - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Taubaté - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWT
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.02.26	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Grêmio Prudente - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Piracicaba - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Piracicaba - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santo André - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2
31.01.24	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	4:2
27.05.23	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:1

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