Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: MOTSEPE FOUNDATION CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 11

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Venda		Magesi

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.7	3
	2.38	2.76	3.25
	2.38	2.76	3.25
	2.31	2.86	3.14
	2.43	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3)	2.8 ↓ (3)	3.12 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venda
38.3%

Draw
32.5%

Magesi
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31.1%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venda's performance.

Magesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magesi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magesi than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magesi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 4).

Venda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Magesi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magesi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Venda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Venda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venda FA
South African First Division
01.11.23	Venda - Hungry Lions	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Orbit College - Venda	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Milford - Venda	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Venda - Baroka	0:1 ✺
04.10.23	Durban City - Venda	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL
- Magesi FC
South African First Division
31.10.23	Magesi - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Upington City - Magesi	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Magesi - Platinum City Rovers	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Magesi - JDR Stars	2:3 ✺
03.10.23	Milford - Magesi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
03.02.23	Venda - Magesi	0:1

Venda - Magesi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide