Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Nord Energi Arena (Hjørring)

Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Vendsyssel		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.6	6.75
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.39	4.6	6.8
	1.4	4.79	7.77
	1.35	4.33	7	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.3	Watch
	1.38	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.59 ↑ (4.3)	7.09 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vendsyssel
66.7%

Draw
20.2%

Nykøbing
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vendsyssel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Vendsyssel - Nykøbing Predictions

Users Predictions: Vendsyssel will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vendsyssel won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nykøbing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vendsyssel is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vendsyssel won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vendsyssel won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vendsyssel FF
Danish 1 Division
28.10.22	Helsingør - Vendsyssel	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Vendsyssel - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
20.10.22	Vendsyssel - Randers FC	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
13.10.22	Vendsyssel - Fredericia	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Hillerød - Vendsyssel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWL
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
29.10.22	Nykøbing - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	4:5 ✺
22.10.22	Fremad Amager - Nykøbing	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
18.10.22	Næsby - Nykøbing	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
15.10.22	Nykøbing - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
07.10.22	Fredericia - Nykøbing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
13.08.22	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	1:3
04.12.21	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	1:1
08.08.21	Vendsyssel - Nykøbing	1:1
19.07.20	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	0:2
03.11.19	Vendsyssel - Nykøbing	0:0
22.09.19	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	0:3
16.05.18	Vendsyssel - Nykøbing	1:1

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