Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum)

Referee: Aagerup S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		Vendsyssel

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	5.75	Watch
	1.72	4	3.75
	1.43	4.7	6.45	Watch
	1.42	4.95	6.39
	1.46	4.76	5.85	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4
	1.45	5.02	5.52	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.82)	4.66 ↑ (3.64)	5.52 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
62.7%

Draw
20.2%

Vendsyssel
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hillerød's performance.

Vendsyssel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vendsyssel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hillerød that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hillerød - Vendsyssel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Hillerød (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hillerød will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hillerød will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kappenberger A. (G) 3. Allen C. 7. Witt J. 4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 6. Due Grandt M. 12. Schmidt N. 21. Enghardt K. 27. Johansen D. 9. Etim M. 8. Arndal T. 17. Justinussen A.	1. Schulz L. (G) 7. Jensen L. (C) 19. Clemmensen B. 73. Lauritsen M. 2. Mortensen G. 31. Rise A. 20. Nikolov I. 22. Pedersen R. 27. Haarup M. 49. Borgelin S. 47. Munck M.
Substitutes
34. Alicino A. 26. Asare B. (G) 10. Bay M. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 25. Glindtvad W. 22. Jalaei S. 11. Larsen P. 2. Moller R. 23. Veltz M.	30. Andersson S. (G) 18. Dalugge Z. 10. Kaastrup M. 17. Kusk K. 4. Lassen M. 3. Rejnhold P.
Coaches
Lonstrup C.	Kristensen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Rise A. ⚽, Borgelin S. (A),
24', Etim M. 🟨,
32', Nikolov I. ↓, Kaastrup M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Enghardt K. ↓, Glindtvad W. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Allen C. ⚽, Arndal T. (A),
62', Justinussen A. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
62', Johansen D. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Schmidt N. ⚽, Etim M. (A),
65', Borgelin S. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Etim M. ⚽, Arndal T. (A),
67', Munck M. ↓, Kusk K. ↑,
67', Borgelin S. ↓, Dalugge Z. ↑,
67', Arndal T. ↓, Bay M. ↑,
68', Haarup M. ↓, Lassen M. ↑,
72', Etim M. ↓, Veltz M. ↑,
80', Jensen L. ↓, Rejnhold P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 2.

Hillerød is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Vendsyssel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hillerød is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
16.05.25	Roskilde - Hillerød	4:2 ✺
08.05.25	Hillerød - B.93 Copenhagen	5:2 ✺
02.05.25	Hobro - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Hillerød - Roskilde	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWW
- Vendsyssel FF
Danish 1 Division
16.05.25	Vendsyssel - Hobro	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Vendsyssel - HB Køge	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Vendsyssel	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Roskilde - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Vendsyssel - B.93 Copenhagen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
28.03.25	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	0:0
04.10.24	Hillerød - Vendsyssel	2:2
14.09.24	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	0:3
23.02.24	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	4:4
19.08.23	Hillerød - Vendsyssel	2:0
08.10.22	Hillerød - Vendsyssel	2:0
22.07.22	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	5:1

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