The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vere United 17.5%
Draw 23.2%
Tivoli Gardens 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
26.4%
50.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
25.9%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vere United's form might have worsened.
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Gardens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vere United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vere United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Gardens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vere United - Tivoli Gardens Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Edwards E. (G) 5. Brown C. 11. Butler K. 6. Forbes M. 21. Magee T. 10. Mckenzie D. 15. Mitchell D. 32. Pegoretti Marcos 7. Phillips S. 8. Whitfield D. 17. Woo Ling M. (C)
1. Clarke N. (G) 25. Cockings M. 7. Fuller N. 27. Garnett T. 24. Jones S. 31. Lewis A. 11. Nelson A. 5. Pryce B. (C) 8. Smith K. 4. Thomas N. 20. Williams J.
Substitutes
33. Atkinson K. 12. Cunningham M. 23. Gourzong R. 66. Harris D. 31. Harrison M. (G) 27. Juba D. 18. Leighton S. 28. Nelson B. 19. Peralto D.
35. Francis N. (G) 30. Hudson Q. 23. McKain T. 26. Oldfield R. 16. Reid O. 28. Shaw K. 14. Watson D. 3. Wilson K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Magee T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Smith K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Thomas N. ↓, Oldfield R. ↑,
55', Smith K. ↓, Hudson Q. ↑,
65', Forbes M. 🟨,
68', Butler K. ↓, Gourzong R. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Pryce B. ⚽,
73', Fuller N. ↓, McKain T. ↑,
78', Brown C. ↓, Leighton S. ↑,
78', Mckenzie D. ↓, Atkinson K. ↑,
80', Leighton S. 🟥,
83', Lewis A. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
83', Nelson A. ↓, Reid O. ↑,
87', Forbes M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vere United won 1.
Vere United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Tivoli Gardens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Tivoli Gardens is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Vere United won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Vere United won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).