Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Chapelton Maroons		Mount Pleasant

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.9	1.4
	7.99	3.9	1.42
	7.96	4.06	1.43	Watch
	7	3.5	1.44
	7.29	3.9	1.48	Watch
	7.5	3.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.44 ↓ (7.91)	3.84 ↓ (4.61)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapelton Maroons
12.3%

Draw
23.8%

Mount Pleasant
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

20.2%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

19.6%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mount Pleasant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapelton Maroons than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Pleasant than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mount Pleasant could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chapelton Maroons - Mount Pleasant Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapelton won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mount Pleasant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mount Pleasant is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chapelton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapelton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Mount Pleasant	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
10	Chapelton	4	1	1	2	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
25.01.26	Montego Bay United - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Spanish Town Police - Chapelton Maroons	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Chapelton Maroons - Arnett Gardens	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Portmore United - Chapelton Maroons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWT
- Mount Pleasant Football Academy
Jamaica National Premier League
29.01.26	Mount Pleasant - Arnett Gardens	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mount Pleasant - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Arnett Gardens - Mount Pleasant	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mount Pleasant - Racing United	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Molynes United - Mount Pleasant	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
12.10.25	Mount Pleasant - Chapelton Maroons	3:1
14.04.25	Chapelton Maroons - Mount Pleasant	0:2
20.02.25	Mount Pleasant - Chapelton Maroons	1:0
18.11.24	Chapelton Maroons - Mount Pleasant	1:1
24.04.23	Mount Pleasant - Chapelton Maroons	7:0
22.01.23	Chapelton Maroons - Mount Pleasant	Mount Pleasant awarded

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