Match Info

JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 31

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Vere United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.15	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.22	3.05	3.12	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.87)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
41.1%

Draw
29.7%

Vere United
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

21.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waterhouse's form might have worsened.

Vere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vere United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vere United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Waterhouse - Vere United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Waterhouse will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernard A. (G) 39. Bolt-Barrett N. 16. Campbell K. 14. Davis M. 15. Fletcher A. (C) 99. Hamilton N. 11. Jibbison L. 21. Leacock O. 7. Morris H. 20. Wilks Z. 24. Wilson E.	1. Edwards E. (G) 33. Atkinson K. 5. Brown C. 11. Butler K. 9. Gordon R. 10. Mckenzie D. 8. Mitchell D. 32. Pegoretti Marcos 21. Phillips S. 27. Whitfield D. 17. Woo Ling M. (C)
Substitutes
47. Blair N. 6. Boothe S. 13. Burgher D. 50. Bygrave A. 9. Javane B. 80. John D. 45. Matthews C. 42. Roberts M. (G) 18. Simms M.	7. Brown K. 12. Cunningham M. 23. Gourzong R. 66. Harris D. 31. Harrison M. (G) 18. Leighton S. 28. Nelson B. 4. Thomas D. 13. Waul S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Atkinson K. 🟨,
28', Brown C. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Mckenzie D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Wilson E. 🟥,
60', Atkinson K. 🟥,
64', Morris H. 🟨,
67', Hamilton N. ↓, Matthews C. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Jibbison L. ⚽,
74', Davis M. ↓, Bygrave A. ↑,
74', Jibbison L. ↓, John D. ↑,
75', Campbell K. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
75', Whitfield D. ↓, Nelson B. ↑,
76', Butler K. 🟨,
77', Wilks Z. 🟨,
86', Leacock O. 🟨,
87', Butler K. ↓, Leighton S. ↑,
87', Pegoretti Marcos ↓, Gourzong R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Fletcher A. ⚽,
90+6', Nelson B. ↓, Harris D. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waterhouse won 5.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Waterhouse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Waterhouse won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:3 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Waterhouse won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.25	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	3:2 ✺
13.03.25	Waterhouse - Racing United	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Waterhouse - Cavalier	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Mount Pleasant - Waterhouse	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Waterhouse - Portmore United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTLW
- Vere United
Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.25	Portmore United - Vere United	1:0 ✺
13.03.25	Vere United - Montego Bay United	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Vere United - Humble Lions	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Molynes United - Vere United	3:2 ✺
24.02.25	Vere United - Arnett Gardens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
19.01.25	Vere United - Waterhouse	0:3
16.10.24	Waterhouse - Vere United	2:1
12.02.24	Vere United - Waterhouse	0:1
20.11.23	Waterhouse - Vere United	4:1
05.03.23	Waterhouse - Vere United	2:1
04.12.22	Vere United - Waterhouse	0:1
06.06.22	Waterhouse - Vere United	1:0

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