Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Dunbeholden Sports Complex (Portmore)


	Dunbeholden		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.82	2.62
	2.81	3.01	2.62	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.71	2.89	2.51
	2.83	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.42)	2.86 ↓ (3.25)	2.55 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunbeholden
33%

Draw
31.5%

Tivoli Gardens
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunbeholden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunbeholden's form might have worsened.

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Nelson N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunbeholden won 1.

Dunbeholden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dunbeholden won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunbeholden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunbeholden FC
Jamaica National Premier League
14.12.25	Dunbeholden - Chapelton Maroons	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Dunbeholden - Mount Pleasant	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Harbour View - Dunbeholden	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dunbeholden - Racing United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTLT
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
11.12.25	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	5:0 ✺
08.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
19.03.25	Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens	2:4
19.01.25	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	2:0
21.11.24	Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens	2:1
10.03.24	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	1:1
10.12.23	Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens	2:2
05.03.23	Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens	4:1
04.12.22	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	0:2

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