Match Info

3. Liga - Round 6

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	Nova Sport


	Verl		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.02	3.55	3.2
	2.02	3.65	3.27	Watch
	2.04	3.67	3.26	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	3.29 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Verl
46%

Draw
25.9%

Alemannia Aachen
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Verl - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Aachen (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Verl will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Verl will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 3 - 75%). Aachen (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 30. Gayret T. 6. Eze J. 8. Waidner D. 10. Taz B. 11. Steczyk D. 9. Arweiler J.	1. Olschowsky J. (G) 33. Wegmann M. 25. Yarbrough L. 4. Meyer F. 7. Scepanik L. 10. Gaudino G. 28. Wiebe D. 5. Strujic S. (C) 27. Schroers M. 23. Gindorf L. 44. Castelle N. H.
Substitutes
23. Besio A. 21. Knost T. 3. Kohler E. 14. Lehmann P. 27. Onuoha C. 28. Otto Y. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M.	36. Ademi F. 8. Bahn B. 14. Elekwa E. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 49. Pobric M. 20. Richter M. 9. Sulejmani V. 30. Winter N. 18. Wriedt K.
Coaches
Strobl T.	Muzzicato B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Scepanik L. 🟨,
41', Meyer F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Arweiler J. ↓, Besio A. ↑,
56', Eze J. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Taz B. (Pen),
63', Meyer F. ↓, Bahn B. ↑,
65', Schroers M. 🟨,
68', Castelle N. H. ↓, Wriedt K. ↑,
68', Schroers M. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Gindorf L. ⚽, Wriedt K. (A),
77', Steczyk D. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
77', Otto F. ↓, Kohler E. ↑,
81', Gaudino G. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Stark J. ⚽,
90', Scepanik L. ↓, Winter N. ↑,
90', Gaudino G. ↓, Sulejmani V. ↑,
90+1', Taz B. ↓, Lehmann P. ↑,
90+5', Stark J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2.

Verl has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aachen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Verl is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Verl	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Verl - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Verl	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTT
- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Alemannia Aachen - 1860 München	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alemannia Aachen - Hoffenheim II	2:4 ✺
02.08.25	Osnabrück - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
25.01.25	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	2:1
10.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	4:1
German Regionalliga West
18.10.19	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	0:0
18.04.19	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	2:1
12.10.18	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	1:1
02.12.17	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	2:0

Upcoming Matches