Match Info

3. Liga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Usa	ESPN 3
World	Onefootball


	Alemannia Aachen		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.87
	2.32	3.15	3
	2.56	3.25	2.98
	2.11	3.24	3.42	Watch
	2.31	3.15	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.61)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	3.09 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
40.4%

Draw
29.3%

Ulm 1846
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alemannia Aachen's performance.

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulm 1846 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alemannia Aachen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulm 1846 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alemannia Aachen - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aachen will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aachen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olschowsky J. (G) 37. da Silva Kiala J. 25. Yarbrough L. 4. Meyer F. 7. Scepanik L. 28. Wiebe D. 10. Gaudino G. 5. Strujic S. (C) 27. Schroers M. 23. Gindorf L. 44. Castelle N. H.	39. Ortag C. (G) 2. Gorlich L. 21. Seegert M. 15. David J. 27. Mazagg L. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. (C) 25. Loder E. 10. Martinovic D. 43. Dajaku L. 49. Becker A.
Substitutes
36. Ademi F. 8. Bahn B. 14. Elekwa E. 19. Heister F. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 20. Richter M. 9. Sulejmani V. 33. Wegmann M. 18. Wriedt K.	17. Besong P. 34. Boller J. 11. Chessa D. 19. Meier J. 9. Roser L. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 28. Scholze M. 6. Wenig M. 8. Westermeier B.
Coaches
Muzzicato B.	Lechleiter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', da Silva Kiala J. 🟥,
28', Dajaku L. 🟨,
33', David J. 🟨,
37', Castelle N. H. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Martinovic D. ⚽, Becker A. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Becker A. ⚽, Martinovic D. (A),
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castelle N. H. ↓, Wegmann M. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Dajaku L. ⚽, Becker A. (A),
51', Dajaku L. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
54', Martinovic D. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
58', Scepanik L. ↓, Heister F. ↑,
58', Schroers M. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
58', Gindorf L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Gaudino G. ⚽,
75', Seegert M. 🟨,
80', Wiebe D. ↓, Elekwa E. ↑,
90+5', Seegert M. ↓, Boller J. ↑,
90+5', Becker A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Alemannia Aachen - 1860 München	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alemannia Aachen - Hoffenheim II	2:4 ✺
02.08.25	Osnabrück - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLTL
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

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