The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wehen Wiesbaden 34.8%
Draw 26.9%
Duisburg 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
24.9%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
23.6%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wehen Wiesbaden's performance.
Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duisburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duisburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 17. Nink B. 27. Gillekens J. 15. Janitzek J. 18. Greilinger F. 22. Massimo R. 11. Gozusirin T. (C) 37. Brandt M. 32. Paula R. 28. Flotho M. 7. Schleimer L.
1. Braune M. (G) 3. Christensen F. 5. Fleckstein T. 40. Schlicke B. 4. Ens M. 14. Noss C. 6. Bulic R. (C) 20. Jessen N. 11. Kother D. 8. Casar A. 39. Remmert P.
Substitutes
8. Bogicevic D. 31. Brdar N. (G) 6. Fechner G. 19. Hubner F. 10. Kalem R. 5. May N. 21. Muller M. 14. Schultz M. 9. Stehle S. F.
17. Besuschkow M. 7. Bookjans J. 25. Borkowski D. 27. Coskun C. 43. Haddou R. 26. Kruger F. 19. Safi R. 33. Stahl T. (G) 37. Sussek P.
Coaches
Steinmetz F.
Hirsch D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Kother D. ⚽, Casar A. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Kother D. ⚽, Noss C. (A),
32', 0 - 3, Christensen F. ⚽, Kother D. (A),
45', 1 - 3, Schleimer L. ⚽, Paula R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Flotho M. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
46', Paula R. ↓, Schultz M. ↑,
46', Jessen N. ↓, Coskun C. ↑,
54', 1 - 4, Noss C. ⚽,
57', Schleimer L. 🟨,
59', Gozusirin T. 🟥,
67', Noss C. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
67', Kother D. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
72', Nink B. ↓, Kalem R. ↑,
74', Massimo R. ↓, Stehle S. F. ↑,
76', Remmert P. ↓, Besuschkow M. ↑,
81', Stehle S. F. 🟨,
82', Gillekens J. ↓, Hubner F. ↑,
88', Christensen F. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Duisburg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Duisburg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Wehen has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:19 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wehen against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Duisburg
8
7
0
1
22:9
13
21
19
Wehen
7
1
2
4
5:13
-8
5
Last Results with these Odds
Duisburg - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.48%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Croatia
Germany
Slovenia
World
Watch
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Stritzel F. (G) 
Gillekens J. 
Christensen F. 
Noss C. 
Casar A. 
Coskun C. 
Safi R. 
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